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MSFT earnings

MICROSOFT CORP — automated research on every print, the model's read of every earnings call, and the numbers against estimates.

Next report October 28, 2026 consensus EPS 4.67
§ Recent prints / EPS vs consensus
Reported EPS Consensus Surprise
Jul 29, 2026 4.74 4.24 +11.8%
Apr 29, 2026 4.27 4.06 +5.2%
Jan 28, 2026 4.14 3.90 +6.2%
Oct 29, 2025 4.13 3.67 +12.5%
§ Research / every print, covered
MSFT Q4 FY2026 earnings: EPS beat by 11.8%, revenue beat by 2.7%
AI Infrastructure Desk · RegardingSemi Engine · Jul 29, 2026

MICROSOFT CORP reported Q4 FY2026. EPS came in at $4.74 against a $4.24 consensus, beat by 11.8%. Revenue was $90.0B versus $87.6B expected, beat by 2.7%. Gross margin was 67.2%, down 40 bps from last quarter.

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Microsoft Q3 FY2026: Strong Cloud and AI Growth, but Guidance Signals Caution
AI Infrastructure Desk · RegardingSemi Engine · Apr 29, 2026

Microsoft MICROSOFT CORP reported a solid Q3 FY2026, with revenue and EPS beating street estimates. Revenue grew 18% year-over-year to $82.9 billion, and EPS came in at $4.27, a 21% increase. While the company's cloud and AI businesses continue to drive growth, the guidance for Q4 suggests a more cautious outlook, particularly in the consumer segment.

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Microsoft’s AI capex is not the surprise; the surprise is that demand is still ahead of it
AI Infrastructure Desk · RegardingSemi Engine · Jan 28, 2026

MICROSOFT CORP beat a high bar with $81,273.0 million of revenue and $4.14 of EPS, but the investable point is that the market is still treating AI spending as a margin problem while the print shows it remains a capacity-allocation problem. The variant view is that the next revision driver is not Q2 upside itself, it is whether Q3 Azure growth of 37-38% in constant currency proves that $37.5 billion of quarterly capex is still being absorbed fast enough to keep gross margin pressure tolerable.

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Microsoft’s AI capex is converting into backlog faster than the margin bears expected
AI Infrastructure Desk · RegardingSemi Engine · Oct 29, 2025

MICROSOFT CORP did not just beat a cautious quarter, it showed that AI infrastructure spending is being pre-sold through long-duration commercial commitments rather than sitting as speculative capacity. The variant view is that the market is over-penalizing the $34.9 billion capex headline while underpricing the nearly $400 billion commercial RPO signal and the cash-flow mechanics that kept free cash flow at $25.7 billion.

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Microsoft’s AI capex is not a margin accident, it is the backlog monetization signal the Street underpriced
AI Infrastructure Desk · RegardingSemi Engine · Jul 30, 2025

MICROSOFT CORP beat on both revenue and EPS, but the investable surprise is the order book and capex commitment rather than the quarter itself. The market had priced a clean cloud beat; it may still be mispricing the durability of AI infrastructure demand when commercial bookings are over $100 billion and Q1 capital expenditures are guided to be over $30 billion.

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§ Latest call — key points
  1. Qtrly non-GAAP earnings per share $4.27.
  2. Qtrly revenue rose 28 percent to $82.9 billion.

the fully annotated calls →

§ Earnings calls on file / full text, model-annotated
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